Peter Navarro

Peter Navarro - Economy and Finance Geopolitics Trends  speaker


About Peter Navarro - Speaker on Global Economy:

Over the past decade, Peter Navarro has been a keynote speaker on management, finance, global politics and the economy at hundreds of events. His speaking style is unique; it involves a very active engagement of the audience using a state of the art audience response system.

Peter Navarro is a business professor at the University of California-Irvine. He is the author of the path-breaking management book, The Well-Timed Strategy, and the bestselling investment book If It's Raining in Brazil, Buy Starbucks, as well as the books What the Best MBAs Know, and Always a Winner: Finding Your Competitive Advantage in an Up and Down Economy.

Professor Navarro's unique and internationally recognized expertise lies in his big picture application of a highly sophisticated but easily accessible macroeconomic analysis of the business environment and financial markets for investors and corporate executives.

Navarro's articles have appeared in a wide range of publications, from Business Week, Los Angeles Times, New York Times, and Wall Street Journal to Harvard Business Review, the Sloan Management Review, and the Journal of Business. Professor Navarro is a widely-sought after and gifted public speaker. He has appeared frequently on Bloomberg TV and radio, CNN, CNBC, and NPR, as well as on all three major network news shows.

In 2010 Peter Navarro and Glen Hubbard released Seeds of Destruction: Why the Path to Economic Ruin Runs Through Washington, and How to Reclaim American Prosperity. In this powerful, timely, and nonpartisan book, Hubbard and Navarro take on the most important problem of our age -- a decade-long pattern in which the American economy has grown below its full potential, giving rise to fears about the nation's future prosperity.

The analytical approach the two authors take is as innovative as it is insightful. They begin by explaining that the growth of any nation is propelled by four drivers -- consumption, business investment, government spending, and net exports. The authors then use this GDP Growth Driver equation to illustrate how each of the four components of the American economy suffer from major structural imbalances. To understand that these structural imbalances make it virtually impossible for the American economy to reach its full potential growth rate is to understand that the key to solving America's economic problems lies in re-balancing the American economy.

Death by China is Navarro's latest book (co-authored with Greg Autry), which is also a documentary feature. The book challenges the dominant paradigm of a Chinese Miracle - the one featuring a modernizing, progressive Chinese state and provides all the details behind the Communist Party's: Weapons of Jobs Destruction, aggressive military build up, product quality nightmares, and human rights abuses.

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What Peter Navarro Talks About:

The Year Ahead: Economics, Elections, and Investing 
Peter Navarro’s ability to deliver impressive forecasts has won him praise from Investors, Fund Managers and the business media (CNBC, Barrons.)  He repeatedly warned of a housing bubble as early as mid-2006,  called the 2008 stock market crash in November, 2007 and in April 2015  issued a short call on China.

In his fascinating fact filled presentation on the US and Global Economy Peter Navarro looks at the forces, issues, opportunities and challenges that will shape the next 12-24 months. 

  • US Election: How the US election will likely feature a Clinton-Trump clash with Trump needing to woo “Reagan democrats away from the Democratic base while holding on to the Republican base.  For Clinton to win she needs the African-American, and Hispanic vote as well as women across party lines. What will such a divisive campaign do to Investor confidence and market trends?. 
  • Global Economy: Why the global economy is suffering from a chronic structural disequilibrium driven by widespread currency misalignments.  China’s two biggest customers for its export-led economy – the US and Europe – are growing at GDP rates well below historical norms and are no longer able to provide China with the aggregate demand it needs to maintain its own historic double-digit GDP growth rates.  The resultant downshift in the Chinese economy is rippling across the globe to the “commodity nations” that feed China’s factory floor, e.g., Australia, Brazil, Chile, Canada, Indonesia, Russia.  
  • US economy: Where is the US Economy going as so many external forces are buffeting US shores.  The manufacturing sector is in a sustained downtrend and economic indicators point to a possible investment-led recession.  The strengthening US dollar is sapping exports and draining as much as a full percent of GDP growth off an already falling GDP growth rate.   Low oil prices that act as a “tax cut” for consumers are helping to partially offset these recessionary forces but are also causing severe regional effects in oil and shale-producing states, e.g., North Dakota and Texas.  Against this backdrop, it is likely the Fed will abandon its quest for additional rate hikes in 2016.
  • Global Geopolitical: When will the Geopolitical risks that are rising at levels not seen since the height of the Cold War come to a head.  China, Iran, ISIS, North Korea, Russia, Syria, the Ukraine, and terrorism all pose unique challenges and threats to the global order and global supply chain.  With the US military constrained by budget shortfalls, a shrinking naval fleet, and a war-weary public, these challenges and threats are not being

Forecasting the U.S. and global economy
This forecast can be tailored to either investors or business executives. For investors, it includes a discussion of appropriate money management strategies over the course of the stock market cycle. For business executive audiences, Peter Navarro's forecast similarly includes a discussion of appropriate business strategies over the course of the business cycle. For both investors and business executives, the most important part of this speech is to teach them how to become their own economic forecasters. This approach is presented in his book Always a Winner. For groups seeking a strong educational component for their audience, this teach you how to forecast aspect of the speech is always a big hit.

Strategically Meeting the China Challenge
The foundation for this speech is Professor Navarro's analysis of U.S.-China relations in his book The Coming China Wars. In that book, he describe how the emergence of China is sparking a tremendous competition globally for markets, natural resources, and political and military influence. For corporate audiences, Peter explains how to conduct a proper risk assessment when considering offshoring production facilities to China. For companies facing stiff Chinese competition, he also offers a suite of strategies to combat China's weapons of mass production.

What the Best MBAs Know
This presentation is based on the book What the Best MBAs Know; it is an executive-level overview of the MBA toolbox. This presentation is best conducted in a workshop format with the goal of providing executives and middle managers with a working overview of how the key concepts and tools offered in business schools may be profitably applied in their own corporate environment. The presentation is specifically tailored to the particular industry that Peter is working with.

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 Recent Publications

Witty, fun, and very informative...Peter Navarro has come as close as you can to creating the ultimate roadmap to understanding how news and economic events affect markets.

Pristine Capital Holdings, Inc.

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