A major new book by New York Times bestselling author and geopolitical forecaster George Friedman, with a bold thesis about coming events in Europe. This provocative work examines “flashpoints,” unique geopolitical hot spots where tensions have erupted throughout history, and where conflict is due to emerge again.
With remarkable accuracy, Stratfor founder and Chairman George Friedman has forecasted coming trends in global politics, technology, population, and culture. In his long awaited and highly anticipated follow up to the New York Times bestsellers The Next 100 Years and The Next Decade, Freidman investigates the intersection of culture and conflict in FLASHPOINTS: The Emerging Crisis in Europe (Doubleday; January 27, 2015; $28.95).
In Flashpoints, Friedman focuses on Europe — the world’s cultural and power nexus for the past five hundred years… until now. Analyzing the most unstable, unexpected, and fascinating borderlands of Europe and Russia — and the fault lines that have existed for centuries and have been ground zero for multiple catastrophic wars — Friedman highlights, in an unprecedentedly personal way, the flashpoints that are smoldering once again.
The modern-day European Union was crafted in large part to minimize built-in geopolitical tensions that historically have torn it apart. As Friedman demonstrates, with a mix of rich history and cultural analysis, that design is failing. Flashpoints narrates a living history of Europe and explains, with great clarity, its most volatile regions: the turbulent and ever-shifting land dividing the West from Russia (a vast area that currently includes Ukraine, Belarus, and Lithuania); the ancient borderland between France and Germany; and the Mediterranean, which gave rise to Judaism and Christianity and became a center of Islamic life.
Through Friedman’s seamless narrative of townspeople and rivers and villages, a clear picture of regions and countries and history begins to emerge. Flashpoints is an engrossing analysis of modern-day Europe, its remarkable past, and the simmering fault lines that have awakened and will be pivotal in the near future. This is George Friedman’s most timely and, ultimately, riveting book.
Drawing on a trademark blend of historical analysis and geopolitical forecasting, in Flashpoints Friedman explores Europe’s dominance and upheaval through the twentieth century to reveal their basis in a specific set of cultural fault lines – flashpoints that remain volatile today and are due to erupt again.
Friedman asks the most important question facing global citizen today – have conflict and war actually been banished from Europe? Or is today’s period of comparative peace merely an interlude following the centuries of conflict that preceded it? We are now living through Europe’s test and to answer that question, must investigate centuries of European history to discover how today’s events will once again impact the rest of the world. Flashpoints offers a clearly explained, riveting look at the history that has led us to this moment, as well as the situations, conflicts, opportunities, and events to come.
“There is a temptation, when you are around George Friedman, to treat him like a Magic 8 Ball.” — The New York Times Magazine
George Friedman’s impressive track record in forecasting includes successful predictions covering the European financial and political crises, increased Russian aggression in its “Near Abroad,” the Arab Spring, and conflict in Syria. Flashpoints continues this tradition of correct calls with new predictions focused on the struggle for Ukraine, the fragmentation of Europe’s eastern frontier, hostility in Turkey, and the rise of right wing extremism throughout the continent at large.
Dr. George Friedman is the Chief Executive Officer and founder of STRATFOR. Since 1996 Dr. Friedman has driven the strategic vision guiding STRATFOR to global prominence in private geopolitical intelligence and forecasting. A very popular keynote speaker on the future of international politics and economics, Dr. Friedman is in high demand at numerous conferences and industry-specific events for major financial firms such as JP Morgan, Citibank, Ernst & Young and many Fortune 500 companies. In addition he has briefed the Australian Command and Staff College, Eglin Air Force Research Laboratory, U.S. Marine Corps Command and Staff College and many other military and government organizations. Dr. Friedman is frequently invited to speak internationally, including in Turkey, Germany, Poland, Azerbaijan, Australia and New Zealand.
Dr. Friedman is the author of the New York Times bestseller The Next Decade: Where We’ve Been and Where We’re Going, which forecasts the major events and challenges that will test America and the American President over the course of the next decade. Dr. Friedman’s previous book, The Next 100 Years: A Forecast for the 21st Century was also a New York Times bestseller and was published in over 20 languages. His other books on warfare and intelligence have included America’s Secret War, The Future of War and The Intelligence Edge.
Major television and radio networks such as CNN, Fox News, and NPR frequently invite Dr. Friedman to appear as an international intelligence expert. He and STRATFOR have also been featured in cover stories in Barron’s and in the UK’s New Statesman. Dr. Friedman has been featured in Time Magazine, The New York Times Magazine and The Wall Street Journal. He is frequently quoted in The New York Times, Fortune, Newsweek, USA Today, the International Herald Tribune and many other publications.
Dr. Friedman received his bachelors degree from the City College of the City University of New York and holds a Ph.D. in government from Cornell University.
STRATFOR is a global intelligence company with its headquarters in Austin, Texas.
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