Jacob L. Shapiro
About Jacob L. Shapiro - Distinguished Geopolitical Analyst and Speaker on International Affairs:
Complex global issues require new approaches and alternative ways of thinking. That’s why Jacob L. Shapiro founded Perch Perspectives, a political and business consulting firm that offers our clients a different, more comprehensive perspective of the forces that shape the world and impact business decisions.
As founder and chief strategist, Jacob work with companies in the energy, technology, agriculture, and aerospace industries to solve key business issues and provide insight that decision-makers can build into business and political strategies.
With more than a decade of experience as a political analyst and writer, Jacob believes in the power of new ideas, and that, with the right information, humans have the agency to influence their own outcomes.
Perch Perspectives is a human-centric political and business consulting firm operating under the premise that every person has agency when armed with the right information and perspective. It advises business executives, corporations, policymakers, governments, and NGOs on past, present and future international affairs, with additional expertise in global aerospace, agriculture and energy markets. Perch Perspectives and its team of researchers, writers, and advisers bring a distinctly human perspective to their best-in-class writing and analysis. They provide clients with a more holistic understanding of the historical, cultural, geographic, political, and economic forces that define the nature of power, shape the world, and impact business decisions.
What Jacob L. Shapiro Talks About:
A sample of customized, wide-ranging Keynote topics that Shapiro has presented over the past year, include the following:
The World After the Pandemic
COVID-19 is a geopolitical accelerant. It is speeding up processes that were already underway and reducing the chance for compromise between the world’s most powerful countries, especially between the United States and China. As a result, globalization and free commerce will recede from their respective high-water marks; zero-sum geopolitical competition, protectionism, and rival blocs of influence will replace them. Major economies will decouple from each other and global supply chains will transform at a rapid pace as the risks of political stability come to outweigh the benefits of comparative advantage. Governments will assert their power in key industries inextricably linked with national security, like biotechnology, space, and agribusiness. Looming above it all is climate change and lurking behind it all is the rapid aging of the developed world. Eventually, there will be toilet paper and hand sanitizer aplenty in stores again but make no mistake, the world will never be the same after COVID-19, and the world that is already emerging in its wake will look quite different than the one we thought we were living in before.
Technology, Media, and the State: How the U.S. China Rivalry Will Shape the Future of Tech
Technology has become the key battleground in the emerging geopolitical rivalry between the United States and China. China’s perspective is shaped by its experiences in the 19th and 20th centuries, and its strategic goals are to unite the Eurasian continent into a Chinese-led geopolitical unit – and wean itself off of dependence on Western markets. The U.S.’ perspective is also rooted in history, based in part on aversion to rising continental Eurasian powers – and increasingly divisive domestic political issues. By way of the Korean War (really, the first U.S.-China War), the rise of the microchip, and China’s Belt and Road Initiative, we will examine the root of the U.S.-China rivalry before diving into a close look at the Huawei issue – specifically, why the U.S. and its allies are so threatened by Chinese-built 5G, and why the emerging diplomatic spat over 5G is a precursor to far more serious competition and decoupling to come.
Iran and the Future of the Middle East
Since 1945, U.S. foreign policy in the Middle East has been defined by two key goals: preventing the region from falling into the hands of the Soviet Union and guaranteeing U.S. access to the region’s vast energy supplies. Now, the Soviet Union is gone, and the shale revolution means the U.S. has all the oil it needs – and yet, the U.S. remains mired in conflict in the most unstable region in the world. As the Arab world tears itself apart, Iran and Turkey have reemerged as the two dominant powers in the region. The U.S. has a long and tortured history of involvement with Iran in particular – in 1953, the U.S. helped overthrow a popular secular and democratic Iranian Prime Minister, which continues today with a “maximum pressure” campaign designed to force regime change again. Meanwhile, Turkey is becoming stronger and more ambitious – a new Ottoman Empire in the making, while India and China’s dependence on the region is deepening. The future of the Middle East will not be defined by America – and that’s not necessarily a bad thing.
Geopolitical Forces Shaping the World
Geopolitics is back. After a 27-year interregnum following the collapse of the Soviet Union, the international political system is in a state of flux – featuring rising and falling great powers, zero-sum political competition, and heightened risk of global conflict. Climate change and population increase are threatening food and water security in Eurasia and Africa – while the appetites of rising powers like China and India are fundamentally reshaping global food markets. As the Islamic world continues to battle its demons and as the U.S. withdraws from the international order it helped build, there are tremendous opportunities ahead – but also pressing risks.